Same risks, comparable preparation, similar circumstances. One spirals into a devastating crisis. The other remains stable. What’s the difference? Often, just random timing.
The Hidden Build-Up Behind Crises
We love clear explanations for breakdowns - “it started with that decision.” However, crises can result from the accumulation of small, ignored problems over time, which then converge randomly.
The Hidden Build-Up Behind Crises
We love clear explanations for breakdowns - “it started with that decision.” However, crises can result from the accumulation of small, ignored problems over time, which then converge randomly.
How Minor Issues Compound and Our Blind Spots
That unaddressed vulnerability lingers for weeks. Minor warning signs you dismissed slowly weaken the system. Slight imbalances pile up unnoticed. Then, one tiny trigger, an unexpected event, a system glitch, becomes the breaking point.
Control fantasies: Coverestimating our ability to prevent random shocks
Hindsight clarity: retrofitting logical explanations to random breakdowns
How Minor Issues Compound and Our Blind Spots
That unaddressed vulnerability lingers for weeks. Minor warning signs you dismissed slowly weaken the system. Slight imbalances pile up unnoticed. Then, one tiny trigger, an unexpected event, a system glitch, becomes the breaking point.
Control fantasies: Coverestimating our ability to prevent random shocks
Hindsight clarity: retrofitting logical explanations to random breakdowns
Building Resilience for Random Crises
Crisis resilience involves building multiple response systems, rather than relying on a single approach. Preparing for crisis categories (failure, overload, disruption, burnout) rather than just specific scenarios. Focusing on adaptive capacity and assuming minor problems will randomly align.
Building Resilience for Random Crises
Crisis resilience involves building multiple response systems, rather than relying on a single approach. Preparing for crisis categories (failure, overload, disruption, burnout) rather than just specific scenarios. Focusing on adaptive capacity and assuming minor problems will randomly align.
